From ISW (8:30pm ET):
Order of battle (restricted) in Lyman salient/pocket.
Supply: Militaryland, accessed 9/30/2022, 6:45PM Pacific.
From ISW:
Ukrainian forces will possible seize or encircle Lyman inside the subsequent 72 hours. Russian forces continued to withdraw from positions round Lyman on September 30 as Ukrainian forces continued to envelop Russian troops within the space.[8] The Donetsk Folks’s Republic (DNR) officers and Russian warfare correspondents acknowledged that Russian forces nonetheless management Lyman however have withdrawn from their positions in Drobysheve (round 6km northwest of Lyman) and Yampil (about 13km southeast of Lyman).[9] Russian sources claimed that Russian forces nonetheless management one highway from Lyman to Torske, whereas Ukrainian forces have lower off the Drobysheve-Torske highway within the Stavky space.[10] Russian sources additionally famous the rising exercise of Ukrainian reconnaissance and sabotage teams on the Svatove-Torske freeway northeast of Lyman after reportedly crossing the Zherebets River.[11] Geolocated footage additionally confirmed Ukrainian artillery placing withdrawing Russian forces close to Torske.[12] Some Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces have crossed the Siverskyi Donets River in Dronivka and at the moment are working within the forests south of Kreminna.[13] Russian sources uniformly famous that Ukrainian artillery continues to interdict Russian forces’ single remaining egress route on the Kreminna-Torske highway.[14]
I’m curious how JohnH now assesses the navy steadiness, a month after his preliminary skepticism relating to the Ukrainian offensive.
